This will be the warmest and most rain-free day in the forecast. Enjoy!
Before a cold front arrives to much of the area on Monday, we will be treated to a really warm and breezy day. We’re starting the morning mild with only a few clouds.
The winds will kick in even more this afternoon with gusts out of the south topping 30 mph.
As for temperatures, everyone will be in the 75-79° range this afternoon.
Approaching Cold Front
A cold front is forecast to approach the Ozarks by this evening. This front will be around for a few days. its exact position will dictate where heavier rain and possible severe storms will set up.
As for this evening, a line of showers and storms is expected to develop to our northwest and slide deeper in the Ozarks overnight. There is a risk of some hail up to golf ball size and strong winds with these storms just “over the border” to our west early this evening. This area is outlined on the Drawing Board.
The front will set up a sharp temperature contrast in the Ozarks on Monday. High temperatures will approach the eighty-degree mark in northern Arkansas while readings only in the fifties will be noted north of Springfield.
A few strong to severe storms will be possible in the warm and increasing more humid air south of this front. I included where I think the highest probability for severe thunderstorms exists on Monday:
An large upper-level storm will begin to push into the central U.S. during the middle of the week. There is disagreement among the computer models with regard to the eventual placement of this front. It seems likely it will return northward in advance of this storm but exactly where and how much is critical to future rounds of severe weather and heavy rain areas.
Showers and storms are in the forecast regardless as small disturbances move along this front over the next few days. Noteworthy adjustments may be necessary!
In a pattern very similar to last week, colder air will find its way back into the Ozarks by late in the week as lows drop down to near freezing again.