Much of the Ozarks is in a slight risk of severe storms for later today and tonight.
The area outlined in yellow is the slight risk and the green shaded is the 2% tornado possibility.
The overall picture this morning features an area of rain with a few non-severe storms north and northwest of Springfield in western Missouri. This band will continue to move east through the morning hours. Rain may impact Springfield by later this morning and will certainly travel over areas to the north of the city.
The area to be watched for severe storms later today is out west. The air over portions of Kansas and Oklahoma will become unstable later today as heating combines with high humidity values.
Storms will develop over this area and track east with time into southwest Missouri.
The tornado threat is small but not zero. The exact details of this threat will depend on how small scale features evolve during the day. Right now, the 2% tornado risk skews north and west of Springfield.
Broadly, any storms that develop will also be heavy rain producers and a flash flood watch is in effect for the Missouri portion of the Ozarks.
I’ll have another update later this afternoon.