Here is an update to the severe storm potential for later this afternoon and evening. I also have a video briefing recorded at 3 pm you can view.
All of the Ozarks continues to be in a slight risk for severe storms. The same area is in a broad 2% risk of a tornado.
Isolated non-severe cells have bee popping up over southwest Missouri this afternoon. They do no pose much of a threat for severe storms.
Areas of extreme western Missouri and all of eastern Kansas have seen the air become increasing unstable through the late afternoon hours. Storms which fire in these areas will quickly become severe and slide east southeast through the evening hours.
There is a boundary in western Missouri I will eye carefully for any storms which latch on providing an enhanced severe or even weak tornado threat.
Otherwise, the best chance for severe weather is between 5 and 7 pm and west of Springfield.
Thereafter, the storms will congeal into a large rain machine. Flash flooding will be possible over some areas of the Ozarks and a Flash Flood Watch is in effect for tonight and through the weekend.
Here is by VBLOG of the severe threat recorded at about 3 pm. Stay alert!