Mar 312013

meteogram_miniA pesky band of rain showers and some thunder has developed along a shift in the wind this morning.  It will move along in short order and still allow a great Easter Sunday to unfold.

Warm Easter

A push of drier and warm air will come into the Ozarks from the west today.  Easter (and the last day of March) will be warm with high temperatures pushing into the upper sixties.

By late tonight, a much stronger system will usher in cold air for this time of year.


Monday and Tuesday will be much colder in the Ozarks. Both days will feature maximum temperatures only in the forties, almost 20 degrees below what might be expected in early April.

A band of precipitation will drop down over the area late on Monday. This will start as light rain showers and will probably transition to snow over some the Ozarks Monday evening.  I’m not expecting anything that falls to stick, but’s it’s hard to take after a weekend of sixties!

Tuesday will be the coldest day of the seven day forecast.

Spring Returns

The rest of weekend the the upcoming weekend will be spent warming up. Each day should get progressively warmer. I have sixties back in the forecast for Friday and Saturday and I think that level of warm should last even beyond Saturday and into the early part of the following week.

Storm Chasing

There is at least a chance for a “Lock and Load” storm chase toward the end of  my next chase window, April 4-8.  If you have been thinking about this, let me know so I can put you on the list!  Just e-mail me at All of the information on “Tornado Ted’s Storm Chase Tour” can be found under the menu tab above.



Mar 302013

Radar/Temperatures at 8 a.m.

Radar/Temperatures at 8 a.m.

Showers and some thunder will visit the Ozarks today but Easter Sunday should be fantastic!

More Rain

Rain on morning radar is showing up in southwest Missouri and over much of eastern Kansas.  This activity is sliding east-southeast this morning and will affect the area through about Noon.  Some thunder may be included in this batch of rain but no severe weather is expected.

More scattered showers and storms might redevelop later today along a wind shift line. While there is an outside chance for some hail with these storms, the overall threat of severe weather remains low for much of the area.

Some folks may pick up an additional .25 to .75″ of rain, especially the more south and southwest your location is from Springfield.

I’ve outlined the heavier rain and hail areas I expect today on the Drawing Board.

Great Easter!

Mostly sunny skies and gorgeous temperatures await us this Easter!  Sunrise is at 7 a.m. on Sunday and skies should be clear to partly cloudy.

After starting in the upper forties, the day should quickly warm and all areas of the Ozarks should go back into the sixties!

April Fool’s Day

Monday will be colder as a fresh shot of cold air arrives the night before.

Precipitation forming behind the front will take the form of a chilly rain during the day Monday and may mix with or change over to a wet snow for some Monday evening.  No accumulation is expected with this snowfall but hard to discuss in early April!

Rest of the Workweek

The week looks dry and chilly for Tuesday and Wednesday but warms by the end.  We should get sixties back by the end of the week and into the following weekend.





Mar 292013

Computer Model Temperature Trends

Computer Model Temperature Trends

It’s a forecast which includes thunder, sixties and snow as Easter Sunday and the first days of April come into sight.

Showers Today

Early morning radar shows rain showers and some thunder rumbles out there. Light to moderate rain at times. The bands of rain are sliding ESE and will begin to depart the area by late morning and early afternoon.

More showers and a few thundershowers will form later tonight in a similar pattern.  These I think might lean a tad more to the south, be slightly heavier and track in about the same way.

Staying Warm

It will stay warm through the weekend!  Highs will be in the sixties today through Sunday.  Easter Sunday looks great with clearing skies and highs in the lower and middle sixties!

A wind-shift will come in Saturday evening and provide the focus for another round of showers and storms. A few of these storms out over Kansas and Oklahoma could develop some gusty winds and hail but as of now, this doesn’t look like a huge issue for the Ozarks on Saturday.

The rain and thunder along this wind in the wind will be healthy, nice additional Spring rains! And it will be gone by early Sunday morning.

Some Monday Snow?

Some Monday Snow?

Cold/Snow Shot

The beginning of April unfortunately will start cold once again as we go back to our old ways of highs in the forties and lows in the twenties.  This will be the case on Monday and Tuesday with more mild conditions by the end of next week.

On Monday, a mix of rain and snow will develop behind the cold air advance and by nightfall could just be pure snow in the Ozarks.


Mar 282013

HPC Rain Forecast Through Sunday Morning

HPC Rain Forecast Through Sunday Morning

Finally, a morning where the low temperatures don’t look like the highs for the day. It’s warming up!  The seven day forecast is posted.

Nearing Normal

Despite rain chances, temperatures are on the rise.  Today we’ll make a run for sixty in Springfield even with clouds, with sixties more likely in northwest Arkansas.

Friday’s temperature pattern is identical.

On Saturday, a weak cool front is expected by nighttime but before it gets here, I’m forecasting the warmest day of the next seven as sixties become common.

The real shot of colder air sets in Sunday night meaning Easter Sunday won’t be that much colder.

Rain Shots

Later tonight and Friday night, showers and even some rumbles of thunder will be possible. A warm front will be moving north into our area and with a few upper level “ripples”, the rain should come.

Another shot of rain and thunder should come late on Saturday ahead of the cool front.

The rain totals are impressive especially for Friday night.  If these come to pass (HPC forecast included), it would go a long way toward easing drought conditions even more over the area.


It should work out to be a fine Easter Sunday over the Ozarks. There might be some lingering showers very early in the day over northern Arkansas and south Missouri but they should move on quickly.

Sunrise on Easter is straight up at 7:00 a.m. and it will be cloudy over much of the area still with temperatures in the upper forties.  I expect highs to reach near sixty on Easter!

Return of Cold

On April 1st (I’ll avoid the pun this time), colder air will once again visit the Ozarks. As I mentioned in my blog a few days ago, there is enough cold air to mix with another quick moving disturbance to provide a snow chance for the Ozarks.

It it comes to pass, it would likely be late on Monday and into Monday night. It would be more likely in upstate Missouri.  Oh boy!

Storm Chasing

Finally, please read my blog post on storm chasing with my new adventure this Spring, “Tornado Ted’s Storm Chasing Tour!”