Summer Kicking Back In

 Posted by at 6:13 am on August 31, 2015  Daily Weather Blog, Education  No Responses »
Aug 312015
 

8-31-2015 6-07-01 AMIt’s been a cool August but if you’re a fan of summer weather, this is a forecast you will like!

Today, the thermometer should reach into the upper eighties.  By doing so, it would be the first above normal high temperature in Springfield since the 17th, a run of almost two weeks.

This pattern is locked in.  The jet stream is favoring high pressure aloft which nearly always puts the folks below in an above average temperature pattern.

The Ozarks will cruise through this week with high temperatures right around ninety-degrees.  There are no significant rain chances in the forecast presently.

 

Aug 282015
 

8-28-2015 5-32-16 AMA few showers and even a thunderstorm will be possible late today and Saturday as a weak cool front tries to move through the Ozarks.

Because of the shifting jet stream winds, this cool front will fade as it moves into the Ozarks this weekend.  It does carry with it a chance for showers and a few thunderstorms.

Today, showers out in Kansas will slowly advance toward the area.  Rain chances go up a bit in the Ozarks this evening as a result.

On Saturday, the same front will be closer to our area and more scattered showers and storms will be possible.

Temperatures will level out in the middle eighties this weekend with the front, some clouds and the showers around.

Once we get into next week, more of a summer pattern will lock into the central U.S. I expect our highs back into the upper eighties with a ninety degree high a possibility.

 

 

Aug 272015
 

8-27-2015 5-51-00 AMOur cooler-than-normal temperature pattern will change over the next week but very slowly!

This morning, a batch of showers with some thunder is located in eastern Kansas. This rain is sliding almost due south and might affect the Joplin area through the morning hours.

Otherwise, we continue on track with nice temperatures and low humidity in the Ozarks through early next week.

Another small area of showers my arrive Friday evening and night.

Our weekend looks dry and comfortable and a tad warmer with daily highs climbing into the upper eighties.

Next week looks more summer-like (in September, go figure!) with high pushing near ninety.

 

Aug 262015
 

8-26-2015 6-10-57 AMToday will be another cool and sunny day in the Ozarks!

The area of high pressure which starting pressing in Sunday night is now overhead.  Skies are clear and sunny with this feature.

This type of weather is a real treat for August and we’ve had more days then not with a temperature pattern south of what is average for August.

There are a few signs of showers or perhaps a rumble of thunder Friday night as a weak disturbance whips on through the Ozarks.

I think the weekend will be dry and about right on temperatures for the closing days of August.

All of next week, the jet stream pattern changes to encourage near normal temperatures.

Tropical Storm Erika is on course to be in the Bahamas by Saturday night in very warm waters and a decent environment for development. The National Hurricane Center strengthens Erika to minimal hurricane status by early Sunday near Miami!

Very Cool for the Season

 Posted by at 5:27 am on August 25, 2015  Daily Weather Blog, Headlines  No Responses »
Aug 252015
 

8-25-2015 5-26-29 AMChilly air is in the Ozarks this morning as temperatures fall into the lower fifties with clear skies and light winds.

This type of weather is brought to us by a sprawling area of high pressure drifting over the central U.S. It’s effect will be long-lasting with cooler than average conditions lasting through the rest of the week.

High temperatures this week will top out in the lower eighties.  Morning lows will be in the fifties.

Another cool front may spark some showers and some thunderstorms by late Friday and on Saturday.

The upper-level winds look like they will change by next week to favor warmer weather.  For late August, this means highs in the upper eighties.

 

 

 

Aug 242015
 

8-24-2015 6-15-14 AMAnother area of cool high pressure will keep temperatures cooler than one would expect for late August.

This latest in a series of highs is dropping into Kansas today and will drift over the Ozarks over the next few days.

Lows dropping into the fifties will be commonplace this week.

The high today will stay in the upper seventies.  As for the rest of the week, daily highs in the lower eighties.

It’s a dry weather pattern but we’re good on rain thanks to the weekend storms.  Springfield’s rain total for August is 6.13″, way ahead of the average curve!

 

Some Showers This Weekend

 Posted by at 6:11 am on August 21, 2015  Daily Weather Blog, Headlines  No Responses »
Aug 212015
 

8-21-2015 6-09-41 AMThe threat for rain looms this weekend but I do see lots of dry hours too.

Even today, a few light showers may slide into areas of southwest Missouri. The chances for rain today are pretty small and anything that does fall would be light.  I do expect a mix of sun and clouds in the Ozarks today.

On Saturday, pop-up afternoon showers and a few thunderstorms will be on tap. These look most likely in the afternoon and in areas from Springfield eastward.

On Sunday, another cool front will swing through the Ozarks by late afternoon.  This should produce more widespread coverage on rain and a few thunderstorms.  I don’t see a great signal for widespread severe storms with this front.

For all of the next week, it’s back to business as usual with warm days, cool night and low humidity!

Aug 202015
 

8-20-2015 5-01-44 AMIt’s a real treat to talk about cool weather in August and my forecast has lots of it!

Now I love summer temperatures too (you can have the high humidity of course!) but it is nice to take a break.

The jet stream flow for the next seven days favors a series of cool fronts passing through the Ozarks. The first of these came through yesterday and our cool morning has been the result.

Temperatures this morning are in the lower fifties with some upper forties being reported.

The high temperatures will average right around 81° for the next four days.  There’s nothing higher than 83° in the seven day forecast!

We do have additional rain chances which happen to time out on the weekend. The first showers and storms may show up as early as Friday night.

 

Tropical Storm Danny, 8/19/15

 Posted by at 12:54 pm on August 19, 2015  Headlines  No Responses »
Aug 192015
 

Tropical Storm Danny is way out in the Atlantic today and might get a tad stronger over the next few days.

First of all, Danny is about 3000 miles from Florida so there is no immediate threat to the U.S. from this storm unless you count Puerto Rico!

The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center has this tropical storm strengthening to a category one hurricane over the next few days.  The track will almost certainly be to the west-northwest.

Danny is going to run into two issues which may weaken it. One, there is a lot of dry air (yellow in the water vapor image) which tends to snuff out tropical systems.

The second might be interaction with terrain if indeed it survives to Puerto Rico.  Mountains on some of the larger Caribbean islands can break the low pressure circulation up on these type of storms.

I’ll wait a few days to see if Danny can hold together and then type up another update.

 

 

Rain and Cool Today

 Posted by at 5:56 am on August 19, 2015  Daily Weather Blog, Headlines  No Responses »
Aug 192015
 

8-19-2015 5-54-33 AMIt will rain all morning in the Ozarks!

After some loud thunderstorms last night, we will still hear some thunder this morning. But the focus is changing to more steady rain in the area through at least the morning hours.

A cool front has moved through the Ozarks overnight. This combined with the rain and clouds will mean a very cool day for us. I don’t see high temperatures getting out of the sixties today!

This cool trend of weather will last.  By tomorrow morning, temperatures will drop into the lower fifties as yet another cool bubble of high pressure slides into the Ozarks.

More thunderstorm chances come up Friday night and last into Saturday too.