Aug 272015
 

8-27-2015 5-51-00 AMOur cooler-than-normal temperature pattern will change over the next week but very slowly!

This morning, a batch of showers with some thunder is located in eastern Kansas. This rain is sliding almost due south and might affect the Joplin area through the morning hours.

Otherwise, we continue on track with nice temperatures and low humidity in the Ozarks through early next week.

Another small area of showers my arrive Friday evening and night.

Our weekend looks dry and comfortable and a tad warmer with daily highs climbing into the upper eighties.

Next week looks more summer-like (in September, go figure!) with high pushing near ninety.

 

Aug 262015
 

8-26-2015 6-10-57 AMToday will be another cool and sunny day in the Ozarks!

The area of high pressure which starting pressing in Sunday night is now overhead.  Skies are clear and sunny with this feature.

This type of weather is a real treat for August and we’ve had more days then not with a temperature pattern south of what is average for August.

There are a few signs of showers or perhaps a rumble of thunder Friday night as a weak disturbance whips on through the Ozarks.

I think the weekend will be dry and about right on temperatures for the closing days of August.

All of next week, the jet stream pattern changes to encourage near normal temperatures.

Tropical Storm Erika is on course to be in the Bahamas by Saturday night in very warm waters and a decent environment for development. The National Hurricane Center strengthens Erika to minimal hurricane status by early Sunday near Miami!

Very Cool for the Season

 Posted by at 5:27 am on August 25, 2015  Daily Weather Blog, Headlines  No Responses »
Aug 252015
 

8-25-2015 5-26-29 AMChilly air is in the Ozarks this morning as temperatures fall into the lower fifties with clear skies and light winds.

This type of weather is brought to us by a sprawling area of high pressure drifting over the central U.S. It’s effect will be long-lasting with cooler than average conditions lasting through the rest of the week.

High temperatures this week will top out in the lower eighties.  Morning lows will be in the fifties.

Another cool front may spark some showers and some thunderstorms by late Friday and on Saturday.

The upper-level winds look like they will change by next week to favor warmer weather.  For late August, this means highs in the upper eighties.

 

 

 

Aug 242015
 

8-24-2015 6-15-14 AMAnother area of cool high pressure will keep temperatures cooler than one would expect for late August.

This latest in a series of highs is dropping into Kansas today and will drift over the Ozarks over the next few days.

Lows dropping into the fifties will be commonplace this week.

The high today will stay in the upper seventies.  As for the rest of the week, daily highs in the lower eighties.

It’s a dry weather pattern but we’re good on rain thanks to the weekend storms.  Springfield’s rain total for August is 6.13″, way ahead of the average curve!

 

Some Showers This Weekend

 Posted by at 6:11 am on August 21, 2015  Daily Weather Blog, Headlines  No Responses »
Aug 212015
 

8-21-2015 6-09-41 AMThe threat for rain looms this weekend but I do see lots of dry hours too.

Even today, a few light showers may slide into areas of southwest Missouri. The chances for rain today are pretty small and anything that does fall would be light.  I do expect a mix of sun and clouds in the Ozarks today.

On Saturday, pop-up afternoon showers and a few thunderstorms will be on tap. These look most likely in the afternoon and in areas from Springfield eastward.

On Sunday, another cool front will swing through the Ozarks by late afternoon.  This should produce more widespread coverage on rain and a few thunderstorms.  I don’t see a great signal for widespread severe storms with this front.

For all of the next week, it’s back to business as usual with warm days, cool night and low humidity!

Aug 202015
 

8-20-2015 5-01-44 AMIt’s a real treat to talk about cool weather in August and my forecast has lots of it!

Now I love summer temperatures too (you can have the high humidity of course!) but it is nice to take a break.

The jet stream flow for the next seven days favors a series of cool fronts passing through the Ozarks. The first of these came through yesterday and our cool morning has been the result.

Temperatures this morning are in the lower fifties with some upper forties being reported.

The high temperatures will average right around 81° for the next four days.  There’s nothing higher than 83° in the seven day forecast!

We do have additional rain chances which happen to time out on the weekend. The first showers and storms may show up as early as Friday night.

 

Rain and Cool Today

 Posted by at 5:56 am on August 19, 2015  Daily Weather Blog, Headlines  No Responses »
Aug 192015
 

8-19-2015 5-54-33 AMIt will rain all morning in the Ozarks!

After some loud thunderstorms last night, we will still hear some thunder this morning. But the focus is changing to more steady rain in the area through at least the morning hours.

A cool front has moved through the Ozarks overnight. This combined with the rain and clouds will mean a very cool day for us. I don’t see high temperatures getting out of the sixties today!

This cool trend of weather will last.  By tomorrow morning, temperatures will drop into the lower fifties as yet another cool bubble of high pressure slides into the Ozarks.

More thunderstorm chances come up Friday night and last into Saturday too.

 

Aug 182015
 

8-18-2015 3-44-07 AMA cool front later today will spark quite a few showers and thunderstorms in the Ozarks and give us a very cool Wednesday.

Yesterday’s more isolated showers will be replaced by more organized bands of showers, thunderstorms and just plain rain from now until Wednesday evening.

An upper-level system will travel over Kansas and into Missouri today. Rain connected with this feature will diminish today as it moves east but then re-fire over the Ozarks by late afternoon.

The front will move through overnight with additional areas of showers and storms.

8-18-2015 4-36-54 AMOverall, the threat for widespread severe thunderstorms remains low but there is a small risk for some hail and gusty winds with a few of the stronger storms.

Behind the front on Wednesday, conditions will be chilly for mid-August.  The afternoon temperatures will stay in the sixties over most of the Ozarks.  This same cool air will send our low temperatures down into the lower fifties by Thursday morning.

More general areas of rain with some thunder will be around the area during most of Wednesday afternoon.

The long range forecast calls for temperatures to stay below normal for the next 10 days.

 

 

 

 

Aug 172015
 

8-17-2015 6-18-28 AMAfter a long absence, rain will visit the Ozarks again this week along with a few storms.

While most areas will stay dry today, there is an isolated shower or storm risk this afternoon.  Aside from this, the Ozarks will be very warm and somewhat humid today. I’m looking at high temperatures just shy of ninety.

On Tuesday, a cool front sweeps into the area.  This should provide us with several chances for showers and thunderstorms.  Most of the storms should stay below the limits of being severe. The Storm Prediction Center has a marginal risk for severe storms in the Ozarks with a slightly better chance upstate closer to the Kansas City area.

The cool front stalls a bit on Wednesday. This should provide us with a more steady rain in the regional with some thunder.  This will be a cool day too with temperatures on Wednesday struggling to get out of the sixties!

 

Aug 162015
 

gfs_ptype_slp_mc_14Dry weather continues in the Ozarks through Monday with typical summer heat and humidity.

The high which brought us our stretch of fantastic weather is beginning to move far enough to the east to allow the return of slightly higher temperatures and humidity levels to the Ozarks.

The changes in out weather start on Tuesday as scattered showers and thunderstorms start to break out.  This activity is out ahead of a cool front which will affect our weather on both Tuesday and Wednesday.

I’m expecting more areas of general rain on Wednesday as the front hangs up a bit.  With the front, the rain and clouds, temperatures will stop in the seventies on Wednesday. By Thursday morning, look for upper fifties in the Ozarks.

Our rain in August as measured at the airport has been decent with a total of 4.70″ which of course fell mostly in the first week of the month.  This puts us ahead for the month with more rain to come next week.

8-16-2015 8-55-42 AMAfter a very quiet start to the hurricane season in the Atlantic, there is a tropical disturbance way out there south of the Cape Verde Islands with about a 40% chance for development over the next five days.