Weekend Cool-Down

 Posted by at 6:24 am on September 18, 2015  Daily Weather Blog, Headlines  No Responses »
Sep 182015
 

9-18-2015 6-20-00 AMWow, it’s warm for the season, at least for one more day.

We’ll be pushing ninety today as the warm breeze out of the south continues to blow.

Changes are already underway west of the Ozarks as a cold front makes its way closer to us tonight.  Showers and storms are a safe bet in the area by this evening.

A few storms have the ability to become severe northwest of Springfield as they first fire this evening. These storms have a quarter-size hail potential along with some gusty winds. Overall, the threat of widespread severe weather is low.

The cold front will send our weekend temperatures down.  We’ll enjoy high temperatures back in the seventies on Saturday and Sunday.

The pattern of weather next week as calm with near normal temperatures.

 

Aug 172015
 

8-17-2015 6-18-28 AMAfter a long absence, rain will visit the Ozarks again this week along with a few storms.

While most areas will stay dry today, there is an isolated shower or storm risk this afternoon.  Aside from this, the Ozarks will be very warm and somewhat humid today. I’m looking at high temperatures just shy of ninety.

On Tuesday, a cool front sweeps into the area.  This should provide us with several chances for showers and thunderstorms.  Most of the storms should stay below the limits of being severe. The Storm Prediction Center has a marginal risk for severe storms in the Ozarks with a slightly better chance upstate closer to the Kansas City area.

The cool front stalls a bit on Wednesday. This should provide us with a more steady rain in the regional with some thunder.  This will be a cool day too with temperatures on Wednesday struggling to get out of the sixties!

 

Aug 082015
 

Storms_NW_of_SpringfieldUPDATE:  National Weather Service storm survey teams found evidence of 95-100 mph straight-line winds on Saturday (8/8/15) in an area just west of Fellows Lake just north of Springfield:

STORY: A batch of thunderstorms which came out of the northwest from Kansas produced some wind damage in the Ozarks on Saturday morning.

As the storms crossed over Stockton Lake, estimated 60 mph winds were reported.  The storms continued to pick up in intensity as they approached southern Polk and northwestern Greene Counties.

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Large trees were reported down in and near the Walnut Grove area in northwestern Greene County. A 24 inch tree was reported down in Bois D’Arc.  Power lines were reported down in the Willard area near Farm Road 56 and Highway 13 and also FR 129 and 88.

In Springfield, the strongest winds tracked through the north side of town, especially north of I-44.  At least two barns damaged and one was destroyed near Farm Road 66 and 174. Ebeneizer reported a tree down near FR 54 and 127. The Springfield National Weather Service reported a wind gust to 41 mph.

Aug 082015
 

8-8-2015 8-26-40 AMThis weekend will be a sizzle in the Ozarks with highs well into the nineties.

This morning, a band of storms has done well surviving from Kansas into western Missouri.  These storms will move deeper into Missouri and may contain some hail and gusty winds in areas northwest of Springfield.

Otherwise, the region will be hot both today and Sunday.  Highs will reach into the lower nineties today and middle nineties on Sunday.

The Heat Index (HI) will top 100° easily on both weekend days and may briefly rise over 105° during the late afternoon and early evening on Sunday.

A Heat Advisory is in effect for the Ozarks both today and Sunday.

A cool front will arrive on Monday with a few thunderstorms. This front will being out daily highs back down into the eighties to start next week.

Related Content: What is the Heat Index (HI)?

 

Strong Storms This Morning

 Posted by at 5:11 am on August 7, 2015  Daily Weather Blog, Headlines  No Responses »
Aug 072015
 

8-7-2015 6-29-13 AMStrong storms forming north of a warm front this morning are producing mostly heavy downpours and a lot of lightning and thunder.

A handful of severe thunderstorm warnings have been in effect at various times early this morning.  So far, no reports of any major damage.  A tree was down and blocking traffic northwest of Reeds Spring early this morning.

Lots of heavy rain is falling with these storms. A reporting station near Highlandville measured just over two inches of rain in about 40 minutes!  National Weather Service reports an estimated 5″ of rain near Highlandville.

The storms will continue to slide southeast today and out of southwest Missouri by late morning.

Rain And Storms Today

 Posted by at 5:35 am on August 5, 2015  Daily Weather Blog, Headlines  No Responses »
Aug 052015
 

8-4-2015 3-16-12 PMThe Ozarks will be subject to rounds of rain and thunder today and tonight with some heavy downpours and a small chance for severe storms.

Some heavy downpours occurred overnight with areas around Fremont Hills, highway 60 in southeast Greene County and south of Sparta where 1-2 inches of rain fell.

A front combined with an upper level disturbance will keep rain and storms around the Ozarks.  On the rain side, a Flash Flood Watch is in effect for much of southwest Missouri today and tonight.  I think the potential exists for 1-3″ of rain to fall on average especially in areas north and east of Springfield.

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With the severe storm potential, a risk for damaging winds and hail does exist for some of the stronger storms which will slide in from Kansas today.  The main threat area is south and west of Springfield.

Temperatures will stay cool today with highs stopping in the middle eighties for most folks.

 

 

 

Rain Chances Going Up

 Posted by at 6:13 am on August 4, 2015  Daily Weather Blog, Headlines  No Responses »
Aug 042015
 

Slide8_geeks150804A cool front has stalled north of the Ozarks but will be heading our way today with increased rain chances.

Showers and some thunderstorms will break out in the area by late morning and into the afternoon hours.

The heat will back down slightly today but with a slight increase in the humidity, I expect it will feel just about the same outside today as yesterday.

The rain chances will continue overnight and spill into Wednesday as well.  Some of the best batches of rain are expected north of I-44 over the next few days were up to a few inches could accumulate.

The Storm Prediction Center has put all of the Ozarks in a slight risk category for severe thunderstorms on Wednesday.  The main threat will be isolated damaging winds and small hail.

We will reach our lowest temperature point of the forecast on Wednesday as highs stop around the middle eighties.

Sun and heat will build back into the area by the weekend.

Sep 022014
 

 

stocktonwall

Stockton Wall Cloud – Austin Houp

National Weather Service storm surveys reveal two addtional EF-1 tornadoes in northern Newton County near Saginaw.

The first round of storms came into the Ozarks as a line from the northwest during the pre-dawn hours.  The line was beginning to lose some of its energy but it was still able to produce widespread 45-50 mph winds in Springfield.  A power pole was snapped on north Glenstone near Evangel College which knocked out power in that area.

More storms began to develop during the early evening.  A storm which passed over Stockton, Missouri around 7 pm showed increased rotation around 7 pm.  The storm had an impressive wall cloud as viewed from the Stockton High School.  This storm was tornado-warned as it continued east into Polk County. Several other photos showed the impressive circular flow in the lower portion of the storm.

Another line of storms approached extreme southwest Missouri in the 11 o’clock hour.  This line produced a swirl or small scale low at its northern end as it passed just south of Joplin in extreme northern Newton County.  This small scale low appears to be responsible for an EF-1 tornado touchdown near Leawood around 11:08 pm, part of a more extensive area of wind damage.

Wind damage continued to be reported as the low traveled east-northeast. Damage was reported in Aurora and also in Republic before the feature fell apart over Greene County and Springfield after midnight.

Related Content: Slideshow of Radar Images and the Joplin Area Tornadoes

Another Day, More Flooding

 Posted by at 5:06 pm on August 7, 2013  Daily Weather Blog  No Responses »
Aug 072013
 

hackbarth_jerome_flood

Interstate 44 Underwater

More flash flooding struck a portion of the Ozarks overnight.

It’s been wild again in areas northeast of Springfield.  The Little Piney Creek and Gasconade River received the lion’s share of torrential rains late last night and early this morning.

Radar rain estimates and ground measurements verify a large area of 6-8″ of rain over portions of Maries, Miller and Phelps Counties.

The river rain gage at Jerome for the Gasconade River reached a record level late this morning.  As of late this afternoon, it sits at 31.81 feet. This surpasses the previous record established in December of 1982 and is higher than the historic flood of 2008.  Also, almost a year to this date, the river at this location was near historic lows, more than 31 feet lower than it is now!

River Gage at Jerome, MO

River Gage at Jerome, MO

The Little Piney Creek in Newburg went crazy this morning too.  It peaked at 15.22 feet, causing evacuations in Newburg.

All of this water caused the Gasconade to flow over Interstate 44 today causing massive back-ups.

The real question is: how much more will we get?  Well the forecast is not encouraging!

The latest rainfall projection from the Weather Prediction Center calls for widespread, average totals exceeding 3″ over much of southwest Missouri over the next three days.

A front dropping south into Missouri will help to perpetuate the rain chances by stalling and allowing more rain areas to form and spread from west to east over the next few days.

Weather Prediction Center Rain Forecast

Weather Prediction Center Rain Forecast

With the front around on Thursday and a slight increase in jet stream winds, there is a possibility of some severe storms.  This will be controlled largely by how rain and storm areas evolve later tonight.

Also, today marks the 15th day in a row of below normal temperatures in Springfield.  That run should continue for quite a few more days.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Aug 022013
 

Radar/Clouds/Instability at 3:30 p.m.

Radar/Clouds/Instability at 3:30 p.m.

Here is an update to the severe storm potential for later this afternoon and evening.  I also have a video briefing recorded at 3 pm you can view.

All of the Ozarks continues to be in a slight risk for severe storms.  The same area is in a broad 2% risk of a tornado.

Isolated non-severe cells have bee popping up over southwest Missouri this afternoon. They do no pose much of a threat for severe storms.

Areas of extreme western Missouri and all of eastern Kansas have seen the air become increasing unstable through the late afternoon hours. Storms which fire in these areas will quickly become severe and slide east southeast through the evening hours.

There is a boundary in western Missouri I will eye carefully for any storms which latch on providing an enhanced severe or even weak tornado threat.

Otherwise, the best chance for severe weather is between 5 and 7 pm and west of Springfield.

Thereafter, the storms will congeal into a large rain machine.  Flash flooding will be possible over some areas of the Ozarks and a Flash Flood Watch is in effect for tonight and through the weekend.

Here is by VBLOG of the severe threat recorded at about 3 pm. Stay alert!